More thunderstorms developed near the center of Tropical Depression 12 and the National Hurricane Center named it Tropical Storm Karl on Thursday night. Karl is the third tropical storm to form over the Atlantic Ocean this week. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Storm Karl was located at latitude 17.9°N and longitude 32.5°W which put it about 1930 miles (3150 km) east of the Leeward Islands. Karl was moving toward the west at 14 m.p.h. The maximum sustained wind speed was 45 m.p.h. (70 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1005 mb.
The circulation of Tropical Storm Karl is asymmetrical. Karl does have a large circular low level wind fields. However the thunderstorms are northeast of the center of circulation, although some thunderstorms have developed closer to the northeast side of the center in recent hours. Southwesterly winds in the upper levels are generating moderate vertical wind shear, which has contributed to the asymmetrical distribution of thunderstorms. In addition, the upper level winds are inhibiting upper level divergence to the west of Tropical Storm Karl.
Tropical Storm Karl is moving through an environment that is not very favorable for intensification. It is moving over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 27°C. There is moderate vertical wind shear, which will make it hard for thunderstorms to persist near the center of the tropical storm. Karl could move into an area where the upper level winds are not as strong in a day or two. The environment could be more favorable for intensification at that time.
A subtropical ridge north of Karl is steering the tropical storm toward the west. The ridge is expected to get stronger and it should steer Tropical Storm Karl toward the west or west-southwest during the next few days.